Dukla Praha vs Slovácko – Predictions
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🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Dukla Praha's attacking strength (0.80x league average) is weighed against Slovácko's defensive record (1.36x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.65. Flip it around — Slovácko's attack (0.98x) against Dukla Praha's defence (1.18x) — and the away total comes out at 1.34.
These ratings are built from 16/46 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 12.6%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.2%), 1-2 (7.5%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Dukla Praha Win
43%
2.35
29%
3.51
29%
3.45
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.1%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.2%
Home win
1 – 0
8.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.65
Dukla Praha xG
Total xG
2.99
1.34
Slovácko xG
2.35
43%
Home win
3.51
29%
Draw
3.45
29%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
35%
Over 3.5
2.86
65%
Under 3.5
1.54
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
62%
BTTS Yes
1.62
38%
BTTS No
2.62
Clean Sheet
26%
3.82
19%
5.19
Win to Nil
11%
8.97
6%
17.91
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.3 | 11.1 | 7.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 9.2 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.8 | 5.0 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Dukla Praha vs Slovácko?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.6%.
How many goals are Dukla Praha and Slovácko expected to score?
The model projects 1.65 expected goals for Dukla Praha and 1.34 for Slovácko, a combined total of 2.99.
How confident is the prediction model for Dukla Praha vs Slovácko?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 43%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.