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Slavia Praha cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Bohemians 1905.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Slavia Praha beat Bohemians 1905 0-2 at Dolicek, Regular Season - 2, in the Czech Liga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Bohemians 1905 1.05 xG and Slavia Praha 1.23 xG, a combined 2.28. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Bohemians 1905 fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Bohemians 1905 attack 0.94 / defence 0.85 against Slavia Praha attack 1.08 / defence 0.86, drawn from 31/31 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it Bohemians 1905 30% | Draw 31% | Slavia Praha 39%, with Slavia Praha to win its most likely call at 39%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 68% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 47% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Bohemians 1905 49%, Slavia Praha 57%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 40%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Bohemians 1905's trading profile (35 games, 16 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 43% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Slavia Praha's trading profile (35 games, 16 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 34% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 60% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Slavia Praha arrived the stronger side — 2.57 PPG against 1.23. Form held, and they took the win. Bohemians 1905 (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.31 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights