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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 29 August 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

42 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 29 August 2025. Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ led the list at 77% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 34%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile
Everton de Vina
3 : 1 FT
D. La Serena
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani
1 : 4 FT
Ayutthaya FC
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
SK Poltava
1 : 4 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 30%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kudrivka
2 : 2 FT
Karpaty
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al Riyadh
✓ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Arka Gdynia
1 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
✓ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
0 : 2 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
0 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
3 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
✓ Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Elche
2 : 0 FT
Levante
✓ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Laval
0 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
2 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
2 : 2 FT
PAU
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
1 : 0 FT
Annecy
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
1 : 0 FT
Boulogne
✓ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 62%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Ligue 2 · France
Montpellier
1 : 1 FT
Amiens
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
4 : 0 FT
Heracles
✓ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
✓ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
3 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 FT
MVV
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
1 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
✓ Win 51%
Draw 20%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 3 FT
Dordrecht
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
0 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
✓ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
2 : 0 FT
Francs Borains
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
3 : 0 FT
KAA Gent II
✓ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
1 : 4 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
0 : 5 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 31%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV
0 : 2 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 28%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 46%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
GKS Katowice
3 : 2 FT
Radomiak Radom
✓ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
3 : 1 FT
Empoli
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Göztepe
1 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Salford City
1 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens
3 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
✓ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Lecce
0 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 28%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge
1 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Cork City
2 : 0 FT
Waterford
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
2 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Leicester
2 : 0 FT
Birmingham
✓ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
2 : 0 FT
Moreirense
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia
3 : 0 FT
Getafe
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 42 of 42 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 29 August 2025?

42 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ at 77% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.