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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 28 May 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 28 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to NAC Breda vs Excelsior at 69% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
0 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 25%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 53%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
0 : 0 FT
FC Seoul
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
2 : 1 FT
IF Elfsborg
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS No 59% Malmo FF Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 14%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Degerfors IF
1 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
TSV Hartberg
0 : 1 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
6 : 2 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Wehen
1 : 2 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%

Showing 7 of 7 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 28 May 2024?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by NAC Breda vs Excelsior at 69% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.