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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Thursday 20 April 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists three fixtures on Thursday 20 April 2023. Wuhan Three Towns vs Beijing Guoan sits top on 58% in the Super League.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ankaragücü
3 : 1 FT
Giresunspor
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
4 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%

Showing 3 of 3 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Thursday 20 April 2023?

three fixtures met the criteria, led by Wuhan Three Towns vs Beijing Guoan at 58% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.