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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Monday 14 June 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Monday 14 June 2021. Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife sits top on 60% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies four of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
1 : 0 FT
Sport Recife
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
0 : 1 FT
Internacional
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Brazil
RB Bragantino
2 : 2 FT
Fluminense
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
0 : 0 FT
Ceara
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Mariehamn
0 : 1 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 11%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 13%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
1 : 0 FT
Inter Turku
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
1 : 0 FT
Ilves
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
0 : 3 FT
Tromso
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%

Showing 8 of 8 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Monday 14 June 2021?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife at 60% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.