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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 16 May 2027

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures clear the bar on Sunday 16 May 2027. Malaga vs Celta Vigo sits top on 49% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 35%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

La Liga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Malaga
: 15:00
Celta Vigo
Win 27%
Draw 36%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 70%
#2 Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
: 15:00
Lorient
Win 22%
Draw 33%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#3 Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
: 15:00
Nacional
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#4 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
: 11:00
Rasi Salai United
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
#5 La Liga · Spain
Levante
: 15:00
Getafe
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 55%
#6 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC
: 11:00
Pattani
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#7 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kocaelispor
: 12:00
Trabzonspor
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
: 15:00
Famalicao
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#9 Süper Lig · Turkey
Çorum FK
: 12:00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
#10 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
: 15:00
Racing Santander
Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
: 11:30
Sukhothai FC
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
#12 Süper Lig · Turkey
Erzurumspor FK
: 12:00
Başakşehir
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 56%
#13 Serie A · Italy
Napoli
: 16:30
Genoa
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
: 15:00
Academico Viseu
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 56%
#15 Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
: 12:00
Beşiktaş
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#16 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
: 15:00
Arouca
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 56%
#17 Süper Lig · Turkey
Eyüpspor
: 12:00
Konyaspor
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
#18 Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
: 16:30
Torino
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#19 Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
: 15:00
SC Braga
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
#20 Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
: 16:30
Venezia
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 16 May 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Malaga vs Celta Vigo at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.