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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 21 October 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 15 fixtures on Tuesday 21 October 2025. Preston vs Birmingham sits top on 53% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 22%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Preston
0 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Championship · England
Ipswich
0 : 3 FT
Charlton
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#4 League One · England
Reading
1 : 0 FT
Northampton
✓ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Championship · England
Blackburn
1 : 3 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#6 Championship · England
Millwall
2 : 0 FT
Stoke City
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Serie A · Brazil
Santos
0 : 1 FT
Vitoria
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Championship · England
Portsmouth
1 : 2 FT
Coventry
Win 22%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Championship · England
Derby
1 : 0 FT
Norwich
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#10 League Two · England
Swindon Town
2 : 2 FT
Notts County
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
✓ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Championship · England
Bristol City
3 : 1 FT
Southampton
✓ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
3 : 2 FT
Vitesse
Win 31%
Draw 23%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#15 Championship · England
Hull City
2 : 1 FT
Leicester
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 15 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 21 October 2025?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Preston vs Birmingham at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.