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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 11 October 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 11 October 2025. Gillingham vs Cheltenham sits top on 54% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 29%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Gillingham
1 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
BTTS No 60% Gillingham Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
4 : 1 FT
Juventude
✓ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS No 57% Palmeiras Clean Sheet 54%
#3 League One · England
Northampton
1 : 2 FT
Rotherham
Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 66% Northampton Clean Sheet 53%
#4 League One · England
Stockport County
1 : 0 FT
Blackpool
✓ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 League Two · England
Shrewsbury
2 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#6 League Two · England
Crawley Town
1 : 1 FT
Walsall
Win 20%
Draw 26%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#7 League One · England
Leyton Orient
4 : 0 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 League One · England
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#9 League Two · England
Oldham
0 : 0 FT
Barrow
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 League Two · England
Tranmere
0 : 2 FT
Barnet
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#11 League One · England
Burton Albion
3 : 0 FT
Bolton
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#12 League One · England
Wigan
0 : 1 FT
Wycombe
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#13 League Two · England
Crewe
0 : 1 FT
Bromley
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#14 League Two · England
Grimsby
1 : 2 FT
Colchester
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#15 League Two · England
Accrington ST
0 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
#16 League Two · England
Bristol Rovers
0 : 4 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#17 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
6 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
✓ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#18 League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
3 : 2 FT
Harrogate Town
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Valour
0 : 3 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Cavalry FC
1 : 1 FT
Forge
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 11 October 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gillingham vs Cheltenham at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.