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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 7 September 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

14 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 7 September 2024. Charlton vs Rotherham led the list at 56% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 23%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies seven of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Charlton
1 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 65% Charlton Clean Sheet 56%
#2 League Two Β· England
Barrow
1 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%
#3 League Two Β· England
Bradford
2 : 1 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#4 League Two Β· England
Doncaster
1 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 League One Β· England
Wrexham
3 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 53%
#6 League Two Β· England
Crewe
1 : 0 FT
Morecambe
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#7 League Two Β· England
Newport County
1 : 4 FT
Port Vale
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 League Two Β· England
Chesterfield
2 : 1 FT
Grimsby
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 55%
#9 League Two Β· England
Colchester
1 : 1 FT
Bromley
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
#10 League One Β· England
Barnsley
2 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 56%
#11 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Vancouver FC
0 : 1 FT
York United
Win 33%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#12 League Two Β· England
Cheltenham
1 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#13 League Two Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 0 FT
Walsall
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#14 League Two Β· England
Notts County
2 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 72%

Showing top 14 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 7 September 2024?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Charlton vs Rotherham at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.