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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 14 October 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Saturday 14 October 2023. Cambridge United vs Shrewsbury sits top on 50% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 10%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 47%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Cambridge United
1 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 63%
#2 League One · England
Lincoln
0 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 League Two · England
Grimsby
0 : 2 FT
Accrington ST
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 League Two · England
Forest Green
5 : 0 FT
Colchester
Win 16%
Draw 23%
Win 61%
#5 League Two · England
Walsall
4 : 1 FT
Gillingham
✓ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#6 League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 2 FT
Barrow
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
#7 League One · England
Carlisle
0 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#8 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Cavalry FC
1 : 2 FT
Forge
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 56%
#9 League Two · England
Crewe
2 : 0 FT
Tranmere
✓ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 57%
#10 League Two · England
Doncaster
4 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
✓ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 League Two · England
Swindon Town
2 : 0 FT
Newport County
✓ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 65%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#13 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
1 : 3 FT
Stockport County
Win 32%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 League One · England
Blackpool
3 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#15 League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 1 FT
Bradford
Win 36%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 37%
BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Canadian Premier League · Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
0 : 1 FT
Pacific FC
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#17 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
2 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 33%
Draw 22%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#18 League Two · England
Notts County
1 : 4 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 35%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#19 League Two · England
Wrexham
3 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 37%
Draw 19%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS Yes 82%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 14 October 2023?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cambridge United vs Shrewsbury at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.