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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 3 October 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 3 October 2023. Oxford United vs Shrewsbury led the list at 51% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Oxford United
3 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
1 : 1 FT
Goias
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%
#3 League Two Β· England
Morecambe
1 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 58%
#4 League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
0 : 0 FT
Wrexham
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 League Two Β· England
Grimsby
2 : 1 FT
Barrow
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#6 League One Β· England
Carlisle
1 : 1 FT
Peterborough
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#7 League One Β· England
Northampton
3 : 1 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#8 Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%
#9 League One Β· England
Portsmouth
2 : 1 FT
Wycombe
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#10 League One Β· England
Cheltenham
0 : 2 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 26%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Championship Β· England
Birmingham
4 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#12 League One Β· England
Cambridge United
0 : 4 FT
Barnsley
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
2 : 2 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 1 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
#15 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
0 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
#16 League Two Β· England
Stockport County
2 : 0 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#17 League Two Β· England
Crewe
2 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Championship Β· England
Plymouth
0 : 2 FT
Millwall
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Premier League Β· England
Luton
1 : 2 FT
Burnley
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 57%
#20 League One Β· England
Blackpool
1 : 3 FT
Derby
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 3 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Oxford United vs Shrewsbury at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.