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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 20 May 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 20 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Barcelona vs Real Sociedad at 60% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 40%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
1 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 71% Barcelona Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France
Bordeaux
3 : 0 FT
Laval
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Bordeaux Clean Sheet 54%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
1 : 1 FT
Elche
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 65% Getafe Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
5 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
BTTS No 57%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 4 FT
FC Porto
Win 19%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
America Mineiro
2 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 13%
Draw 28%
Win 59%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
2 : 0 FT
Inhulets
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
1 : 0 FT
Chaves
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile
Everton de Vina
2 : 1 FT
Deportes Copiapo
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
2 : 1 FT
Plzen
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#11 Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
0 : 2 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 22%
Draw 38%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#12 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
3 : 3 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 40%
Draw 38%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 56%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
0 : 1 FT
Minai
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#14 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovácko
2 : 2 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
4 : 2 FT
Vasco DA Gama
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55%
#16 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Valour
1 : 1 FT
Pacific FC
Win 20%
Draw 35%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
2 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#18 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
2 : 0 FT
Lahti
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil
Coritiba
1 : 2 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 22%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 59%
#20 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
1 : 0 FT
SV Sandhausen
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 20 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barcelona vs Real Sociedad at 60% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.