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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 25 March 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 16 fixtures on Saturday 25 March 2023. Barrow vs AFC Wimbledon sits top on 50% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 19%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Barrow
2 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
✓ Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
#2 League One · England
Exeter City
5 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 League One · England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 0 FT
Morecambe
✓ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 League One · England
Portsmouth
2 : 2 FT
Port Vale
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#5 League Two · England
Colchester
1 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 35%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
#6 League Two · England
Gillingham
1 : 0 FT
Carlisle
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#7 League Two · England
Doncaster
0 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 27%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 League One · England
Fleetwood Town
2 : 1 FT
Lincoln
✓ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#9 League Two · England
Grimsby
1 : 1 FT
Walsall
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
#10 League One · England
Charlton
1 : 1 FT
Wycombe
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#11 League Two · England
Swindon Town
0 : 1 FT
Stockport County
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#12 League Two · England
Hartlepool
1 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#13 League Two · England
Crawley Town
2 : 0 FT
Rochdale
✓ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#14 League Two · England
Mansfield Town
0 : 0 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 55%
#15 League Two · England
Stevenage
1 : 3 FT
Salford City
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#16 League One · England
Peterborough
2 : 0 FT
Derby
Win 37%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 16 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 25 March 2023?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barrow vs AFC Wimbledon at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.