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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 24 January 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 24 January 2023. Bolton vs Forest Green sits top on 57% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 20%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 61%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Bolton
1 : 0 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Bolton Clean Sheet 57%
#2 League One Β· England
Ipswich
4 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 League One Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 League One Β· England
Port Vale
1 : 2 FT
Derby
Win 26%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#5 League Two Β· England
Carlisle
3 : 1 FT
Hartlepool
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#6 League Two Β· England
Stockport County
0 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 55%
#8 League One Β· England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 2 FT
Portsmouth
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 League Two Β· England
Colchester
1 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
5 : 3 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 56%
#11 League One Β· England
Wycombe
2 : 0 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 80%
Draw 12%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
1 : 0 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
2 : 2 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
1 : 6 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 26%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
4 : 0 FT
AC Milan
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
0 : 5 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
0 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 18 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 24 January 2023?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bolton vs Forest Green at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.