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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 24 July 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 24 July 2022. Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro sits top on 51% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 34%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
0 : 1 FT
America Mineiro
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
0 : 0 FT
Santos
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS No 75%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
2 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#4 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
York United
0 : 3 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
0 : 1 FT
Palestino
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Everton de Vina
0 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Juventude
1 : 0 FT
Ceara
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
5 : 1 FT
HIFK Helsinki
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
1 : 2 FT
Corinthians
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
2 : 2 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
2 : 1 FT
Internacional
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
1 : 0 FT
IF Elfsborg
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 56%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
2 : 3 FT
Molde
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Austria
TSV Hartberg
2 : 1 FT
SCR Altach
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Primera División Β· Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 0 FT
Universidad de Chile
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#17 Premier League Β· Russia
Akhmat
2 : 1 FT
Fakel
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Rapid Vienna
1 : 0 FT
Ried
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
1 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
2 : 0 FT
Oostende
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 24 July 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.