Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 22 July 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Friday 22 July 2022. Dundalk vs Finn Harps led the list at 48% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 24%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
3 : 0 FT
Finn Harps
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
America Mineiro
0 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
Win 23%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
0 : 2 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
0 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 28%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
3 : 0 FT
Austria Vienna
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liege
2 : 2 FT
Gent
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 : 1 FT
SC Paderborn 07
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
0 : 4 FT
Wisla Plock
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
3 : 0 FT
Krylia Sovetov
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 1 FT
SV Sandhausen
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 10 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 22 July 2022?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Dundalk vs Finn Harps at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.