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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 4 November 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 4 November 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Atletico-MG vs Gremio at 55% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 24%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 FT
Gremio
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
BTTS No 60% Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
3 : 0 FT
Al-Fateh
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Faisaly FC
1 : 0 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
4 : 0 FT
Antofagasta
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Curico Unido
0 : 2 FT
O'Higgins
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 3 FT
Al Taawon
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 56%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Damac
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
1 : 0 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#10 Primera División Β· Chile
Palestino
1 : 2 FT
Union La Calera
Win 33%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 10 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 4 November 2021?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Atletico-MG vs Gremio at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.