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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 15 May 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Saturday 15 May 2021. IK brage vs Norrby IF sits top on 50% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 22%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Superettan supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 47%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
1 : 2 FT
Norrby IF
Win 32%
Draw 41%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 71%
#2 Premier Division · Ireland
Longford Town
0 : 2 FT
Bohemians
Win 25%
Draw 36%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#3 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
3 : 0 FT
Waterford
✓ Win 38%
Draw 36%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#4 Bundesliga · Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
1 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 28%
Draw 36%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 60%
#5 Veikkausliiga · Finland
AC Oulu
0 : 2 FT
SJK
Win 17%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#6 K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
2 : 1 FT
Gwangju FC
✓ Win 36%
Draw 36%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 60%
#7 Superettan · Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
3 : 2 FT
Vasalund
✓ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#8 Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#10 Superettan · Sweden
Helsingborg
0 : 1 FT
Osters IF
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
#11 Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04
4 : 3 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
0 : 0 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#13 Superettan · Sweden
Akropolis
0 : 1 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#14 Veikkausliiga · Finland
HIFK Helsinki
1 : 1 FT
Ilves
Win 24%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#15 Super League · China
Qingdao Huanghai
1 : 0 FT
Chongqing Lifan
Win 32%
Draw 37%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 63%
#16 Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
0 : 0 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 2 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
2 : 0 FT
Werder Bremen
✓ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
2 : 2 FT
Bayern München
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 15 May 2021?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by IK brage vs Norrby IF at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.