🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Yunnan Yukun cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Meizhou Kejia.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Yunnan Yukun beat Meizhou Kejia 2-0 at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, Regular Season - 13, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Yunnan Yukun 1.64 xG and Meizhou Kejia 1.43 xG, a combined 3.08. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Meizhou Kejia landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Yunnan Yukun attack 0.86 / defence 1.05 against Meizhou Kejia attack 0.94 / defence 1.11, drawn from 12/42 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Yunnan Yukun 42% | Draw 24% | Meizhou Kejia 33%, with Yunnan Yukun to win its most likely call at 42%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 59%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 62% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights