🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Beijing Guoan cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Yunnan Yukun.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Beijing Guoan beat Yunnan Yukun 0-2 at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, Regular Season - 1, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Yunnan Yukun 1.52 xG and Beijing Guoan 1.53 xG, a combined 3.05. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Yunnan Yukun fell 1.5 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Yunnan Yukun attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Beijing Guoan attack 1.09 / defence 0.96, drawn from 0/30 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Yunnan Yukun 38% | Draw 24% | Beijing Guoan 38%, with Yunnan Yukun to win its most likely call at 38%. The actual Beijing Guoan win had been the model's second-ranked read at 38%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 59%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 81% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights