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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Wuhan Three Towns cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Qingdao Jonoon.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Wuhan Three Towns beat Qingdao Jonoon 2-0 at Wuhan Sports Centre, Regular Season - 14, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Wuhan Three Towns 1.85 xG and Qingdao Jonoon 1.40 xG, a combined 3.25. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Qingdao Jonoon landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Wuhan Three Towns attack 1.00 / defence 1.25 against Qingdao Jonoon attack 0.79 / defence 1.11, drawn from 42/43 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Wuhan Three Towns 48% | Draw 24% | Qingdao Jonoon 28%, with Wuhan Three Towns to win its most likely call at 48%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 63%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 84% and landed. Over 3.5 was 41% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 64% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 46% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Wuhan Three Towns 48%, Qingdao Jonoon 43%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 51%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Wuhan Three Towns's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not.

Qingdao Jonoon's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 40% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 47% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Wuhan Three Towns arrived the stronger side — 1.37 PPG against 0.95. Form held, and they took the win. Wuhan Three Towns (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.20 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.23 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights