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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Wuhan Three Towns cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Hangzhou Greentown.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Wuhan Three Towns beat Hangzhou Greentown 2-0 at Wuhan Sports Centre, Regular Season - 7, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Wuhan Three Towns 1.68 xG and Hangzhou Greentown 1.53 xG, a combined 3.20. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Hangzhou Greentown landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Wuhan Three Towns attack 0.87 / defence 1.08 against Hangzhou Greentown attack 1.22 / defence 1.13, drawn from 36/36 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Wuhan Three Towns 42% | Draw 23% | Hangzhou Greentown 35%, with Wuhan Three Towns to win its most likely call at 42%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 62%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 64% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 65% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Wuhan Three Towns 53%, Hangzhou Greentown 77%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 62%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Wuhan Three Towns's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not.

Hangzhou Greentown's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Hangzhou Greentown arrived the stronger side — 1.33 PPG against 0.93. Form was overturned, with Wuhan Three Towns winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. Wuhan Three Towns (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.20 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.73 average — tighter than their form line. Hangzhou Greentown (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.43 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights