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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Tianjin Teda run riot with a 4-0 hammering of Wuhan Three Towns.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Tianjin Teda beat Wuhan Three Towns 4-0 at Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Regular Season - 24, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Tianjin Teda 1.66 xG and Wuhan Three Towns 0.80 xG, a combined 2.47. The scoreboard read 4-0 for 4 actual goals. Tianjin Teda beat their projection by 2.3 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Wuhan Three Towns landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Tianjin Teda attack 0.81 / defence 0.74 against Wuhan Three Towns attack 0.84 / defence 1.14, drawn from 53/53 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Tianjin Teda 56% | Draw 27% | Wuhan Three Towns 17%, with Tianjin Teda to win its most likely call at 56%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. Over 3.5 was 24% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Tianjin Teda 58%, Wuhan Three Towns 51%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Tianjin Teda's trading profile (53 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not.

Wuhan Three Towns's trading profile (53 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 32% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Tianjin Teda 1.43 PPG, Wuhan Three Towns 1.04 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Tianjin Teda win broke the near-deadlock. Tianjin Teda (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.32 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.04 average — tighter than their form line. Wuhan Three Towns (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.04 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 4 against a 1.72 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights