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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Sichuan Jiuniu cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Meizhou Kejia.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Sichuan Jiuniu beat Meizhou Kejia 2-0 at Longquanyi Stadium, Regular Season - 23, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Sichuan Jiuniu 1.77 xG and Meizhou Kejia 1.30 xG, a combined 3.07. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Meizhou Kejia landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Sichuan Jiuniu attack 1.03 / defence 1.30 against Meizhou Kejia attack 0.76 / defence 0.98, drawn from 52/52 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Sichuan Jiuniu 47% | Draw 26% | Meizhou Kejia 27%, with Sichuan Jiuniu to win its most likely call at 47%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 59%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 62% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 65% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Sichuan Jiuniu 65%, Meizhou Kejia 65%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Sichuan Jiuniu's trading profile (52 games, 26 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not.

Meizhou Kejia's trading profile (52 games, 26 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 33% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Sichuan Jiuniu 0.88 PPG, Meizhou Kejia 0.85 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Sichuan Jiuniu win broke the near-deadlock. Sichuan Jiuniu (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.96 average — tighter than their form line. Meizhou Kejia (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.96 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights