🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Dominant SHANGHAI SIPG run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Hangzhou Greentown.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

SHANGHAI SIPG beat Hangzhou Greentown 3-0 at Pudong Football Stadium, Regular Season - 29, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting SHANGHAI SIPG 2.25 xG and Hangzhou Greentown 1.89 xG, a combined 4.14. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Hangzhou Greentown landed 1.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SHANGHAI SIPG attack 1.23 / defence 1.04 against Hangzhou Greentown attack 1.25 / defence 1.00, drawn from 58/58 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it SHANGHAI SIPG 46% | Draw 21% | Hangzhou Greentown 33%, with SHANGHAI SIPG to win its most likely call at 46%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 78%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 92% and landed. Over 3.5 was 59% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 76% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 77% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SHANGHAI SIPG 78%, Hangzhou Greentown 76%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 70%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

SHANGHAI SIPG's trading profile (58 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 72% of their matches — today it did not.

Hangzhou Greentown's trading profile (58 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, SHANGHAI SIPG arrived the stronger side — 2.38 PPG against 1.36. The form guide was vindicated by the result. SHANGHAI SIPG (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.14 average — tighter than their form line. Hangzhou Greentown (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.48 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 2.00 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights