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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Chengdu Better City cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over SHANGHAI SIPG.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Chengdu Better City beat SHANGHAI SIPG 1-3 at Pudong Football Stadium, Regular Season - 8, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting SHANGHAI SIPG 1.20 xG and Chengdu Better City 1.27 xG, a combined 2.47. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Chengdu Better City outscored their 1.27 projection by 1.7. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SHANGHAI SIPG attack 1.14 / defence 0.79 against Chengdu Better City attack 1.10 / defence 0.60, drawn from 36/37 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it SHANGHAI SIPG 32% | Draw 32% | Chengdu Better City 36%, with Chengdu Better City to win its most likely call at 36%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 73% and landed. Over 3.5 was 24% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 53% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 63% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SHANGHAI SIPG 67%, Chengdu Better City 60%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

SHANGHAI SIPG's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and conceded here.

Chengdu Better City's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, SHANGHAI SIPG arrived the stronger side — 2.35 PPG against 1.87. Form was overturned, with Chengdu Better City winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. SHANGHAI SIPG (home/away splits) managed 1 against a 2.90 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.13 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Chengdu Better City (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.60 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights