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SHANGHAI SIPG vs Changchun Yatai – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Fri 28 Feb 2025

11:35

Venue

Pudong Football Stadium

Competition

Super League

China

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SHANGHAI SIPG Win

70%

SHANGHAI SIPG

1.43

18%

Draw

5.70

12%

Changchun Yatai

8.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.5%

Home win

3 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.64

SHANGHAI SIPG xG

Total xG

3.72

1.07

Changchun Yatai xG

70%
18%
12%
SHANGHAI SIPGDrawChangchun Yatai

1.43

70%

Home win

5.70

18%

Draw

8.06

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.62

Clean Sheet

34%

SHANGHAI SIPG

2.93

7%

Changchun Yatai

14.04

Win to Nil

24%

SHANGHAI SIPG

4.18

1%

Changchun Yatai

113.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 6.4 6.9 3.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
2 8.5 9.1 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 7.5 8.0 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 4.9 5.3 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 2.6 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.642
λ Away (xG) 1.074
Total xG 3.716
League avg home goals 1.705
League avg away goals 1.245
SHANGHAI SIPG attack strength 1.390
SHANGHAI SIPG defence strength 0.912
Changchun Yatai attack strength 0.946
Changchun Yatai defence strength 1.115
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 31 / 31