🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Shanghai Shenhua cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Yunnan Yukun.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Shanghai Shenhua beat Yunnan Yukun 3-1 at Shanghai Stadium, Regular Season - 4, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Shanghai Shenhua 2.50 xG and Yunnan Yukun 1.76 xG, a combined 4.25. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Shanghai Shenhua attack 1.14 / defence 1.00 against Yunnan Yukun attack 1.18 / defence 1.29, drawn from 33/3 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it Shanghai Shenhua 53% | Draw 20% | Yunnan Yukun 26%, with Shanghai Shenhua to win its most likely call at 53%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 80%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 93% and landed. Over 3.5 was 61% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 77% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights