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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Shanghai Shenhua cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Wuhan Three Towns.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Shanghai Shenhua beat Wuhan Three Towns 2-0 at Shanghai Stadium, Regular Season - 8, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Shanghai Shenhua 2.20 xG and Wuhan Three Towns 1.06 xG, a combined 3.26. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Wuhan Three Towns landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Shanghai Shenhua attack 1.30 / defence 1.04 against Wuhan Three Towns attack 0.66 / defence 1.00, drawn from 37/37 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Shanghai Shenhua 62% | Draw 22% | Wuhan Three Towns 16%, with Shanghai Shenhua to win its most likely call at 62%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 63%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 85% and landed. Over 3.5 was 41% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Shanghai Shenhua 50%, Wuhan Three Towns 48%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Shanghai Shenhua's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 45% of the time, and duly kept one.

Wuhan Three Towns's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Shanghai Shenhua arrived the stronger side — 2.15 PPG against 1.37. Form held, and they took the win. Shanghai Shenhua (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.83 average — tighter than their form line. Wuhan Three Towns (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.53 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights