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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Shanghai Shenhua run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Tianjin Teda.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Shanghai Shenhua beat Tianjin Teda 3-0 at Shanghai Stadium, Regular Season - 15, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Shanghai Shenhua 2.33 xG and Tianjin Teda 1.36 xG, a combined 3.69. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Tianjin Teda landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Shanghai Shenhua attack 1.36 / defence 0.93 against Tianjin Teda attack 1.08 / defence 1.05, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Shanghai Shenhua 59% | Draw 20% | Tianjin Teda 21%, with Shanghai Shenhua to win its most likely call at 59%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 71%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 88% and landed. Over 3.5 was 50% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 67% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Shanghai Shenhua 50%, Tianjin Teda 50%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Shanghai Shenhua's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 45% of the time, and duly kept one.

Tianjin Teda's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Shanghai Shenhua arrived the stronger side — 2.15 PPG against 1.50. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Shanghai Shenhua (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 2.07 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 0.83 average — tighter than their form line. Tianjin Teda (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.40 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.47 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights