Shandong Luneng vs Dalian Zhixing – Match Report

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Shandong Luneng run riot with a 4-1 hammering of Dalian Zhixing.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Shandong Luneng beat Dalian Zhixing 4-1 at Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Regular Season - 2, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Shandong Luneng 1.44 xG and Dalian Zhixing 0.83 xG, a combined 2.27. The scoreboard read 4-1 for 5 actual goals. Shandong Luneng beat their projection by 2.6 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Shandong Luneng attack 0.87 / defence 0.81 against Dalian Zhixing attack 0.82 / defence 1.01, drawn from 31/1 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it Shandong Luneng 50% | Draw 29% | Dalian Zhixing 20%, with Shandong Luneng to win its most likely call at 50%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 39%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 67% and landed. Over 3.5 was 19% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 44% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights