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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Hangzhou Greentown cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Qingdao Youth Island.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Hangzhou Greentown beat Qingdao Youth Island 0-2 at Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center, Regular Season - 24, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Qingdao Youth Island 1.46 xG and Hangzhou Greentown 1.70 xG, a combined 3.16. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Qingdao Youth Island fell 1.5 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Qingdao Youth Island attack 0.81 / defence 1.07 against Hangzhou Greentown attack 1.23 / defence 0.99, drawn from 52/53 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Qingdao Youth Island 32% | Draw 26% | Hangzhou Greentown 42%, with Hangzhou Greentown to win its most likely call at 42%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 61%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 84% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 64% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 67% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Qingdao Youth Island 58%, Hangzhou Greentown 77%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 64%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Qingdao Youth Island's trading profile (52 games, 26 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 27% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Hangzhou Greentown's trading profile (52 games, 26 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Qingdao Youth Island 1.13 PPG, Hangzhou Greentown 1.33 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Hangzhou Greentown win broke the near-deadlock. Qingdao Youth Island (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.54 scoring average — below par going forward. Hangzhou Greentown (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 2.04 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights