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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

11:30

Venue

Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center

Competition

Super League

China

Status

FT
📰

Qingdao Youth Island cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Dalian Zhixing.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Qingdao Youth Island beat Dalian Zhixing 2-0 at Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center, Regular Season - 8, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Qingdao Youth Island 2.10 xG and Dalian Zhixing 1.37 xG, a combined 3.46. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Dalian Zhixing landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Qingdao Youth Island attack 1.03 / defence 1.30 against Dalian Zhixing attack 0.70 / defence 1.18, drawn from 36/7 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Qingdao Youth Island 53% | Draw 24% | Dalian Zhixing 23%, with Qingdao Youth Island to win its most likely call at 53%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 67%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 88% and landed. Over 3.5 was 46% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 67% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights

Model Goals market defied the model — 67% Over 2.5 probability, but 2 goals scored.
Model BTTS bucked the model — 67% projected, one side was shut out.

⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.