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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Chengdu Better City run riot with a 0-4 hammering of Meizhou Kejia.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Chengdu Better City beat Meizhou Kejia 0-4 at Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre, Regular Season - 12, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Meizhou Kejia 1.23 xG and Chengdu Better City 2.38 xG, a combined 3.61. The scoreboard read 0-4 for 4 actual goals. Meizhou Kejia fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Chengdu Better City outscored their 2.38 projection by 1.6. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Meizhou Kejia attack 1.10 / defence 1.31 against Chengdu Better City attack 1.29 / defence 0.65, drawn from 41/41 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Meizhou Kejia 18% | Draw 21% | Chengdu Better City 62%, with Chengdu Better City to win its most likely call at 62%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 70%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 89% and landed. Over 3.5 was 49% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 65% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 60% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Meizhou Kejia 60%, Chengdu Better City 60%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Meizhou Kejia's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 30% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Chengdu Better City's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Chengdu Better City arrived the stronger side — 1.87 PPG against 1.02. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Meizhou Kejia (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.30 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 4 against a 1.43 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Chengdu Better City (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.60 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.23 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights