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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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SHANGHAI SIPG cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Henan Jianye.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

SHANGHAI SIPG beat Henan Jianye 1-3 at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Regular Season - 6, in the Super League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Henan Jianye 1.96 xG and SHANGHAI SIPG 2.60 xG, a combined 4.56. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Henan Jianye fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Henan Jianye attack 1.23 / defence 1.37 against SHANGHAI SIPG attack 1.42 / defence 0.96, drawn from 43/43 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Henan Jianye 29% | Draw 19% | SHANGHAI SIPG 52%, with SHANGHAI SIPG to win its most likely call at 52%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 83%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 94% and landed. Over 3.5 was 67% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 80% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Henan Jianye 43%, SHANGHAI SIPG 67%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Henan Jianye's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did.

SHANGHAI SIPG's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, SHANGHAI SIPG arrived the stronger side — 2.35 PPG against 1.20. That form edge translated into the three points. Henan Jianye (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 0.93 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights