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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Shanghai Shenhua run riot with a 0-3 hammering of Dalian Zhixing.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Shanghai Shenhua beat Dalian Zhixing 0-3 at Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium, Regular Season - 13, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Dalian Zhixing 0.93 xG and Shanghai Shenhua 1.40 xG, a combined 2.33. The scoreboard read 0-3 for 3 actual goals. Dalian Zhixing fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Shanghai Shenhua outscored their 1.40 projection by 1.6. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Dalian Zhixing attack 0.82 / defence 0.95 against Shanghai Shenhua attack 1.02 / defence 0.66, drawn from 12/42 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Dalian Zhixing 25% | Draw 28% | Shanghai Shenhua 47%, with Shanghai Shenhua to win its most likely call at 47%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 41%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 68% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights