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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dalian Zhixing cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Qingdao Jonoon.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Dalian Zhixing beat Qingdao Jonoon 2-0 at Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium, Regular Season - 19, in the Super League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Dalian Zhixing 1.52 xG and Qingdao Jonoon 0.69 xG, a combined 2.22. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Dalian Zhixing attack 0.75 / defence 0.82 against Qingdao Jonoon attack 0.63 / defence 1.14, drawn from 18/48 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Dalian Zhixing 57% | Draw 26% | Qingdao Jonoon 17%, with Dalian Zhixing to win its most likely call at 57%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 38%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 65% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 39% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 33% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Dalian Zhixing 28%, Qingdao Jonoon 39%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 42%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Dalian Zhixing's trading profile (18 games, 9 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 39% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and duly kept one.

Qingdao Jonoon's trading profile (18 games, 9 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 44% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Dalian Zhixing arrived the stronger side — 1.44 PPG against 0.61. That form edge translated into the three points. Dalian Zhixing (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.89 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights