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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

07:30

Venue

Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium

Competition

Super League

China

Status

FT
📰

Dalian Zhixing cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Changchun Yatai.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Dalian Zhixing beat Changchun Yatai 2-0 at Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium, Regular Season - 3, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Dalian Zhixing 1.54 xG and Changchun Yatai 1.36 xG, a combined 2.90. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Changchun Yatai landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Dalian Zhixing attack 0.86 / defence 1.15 against Changchun Yatai attack 0.81 / defence 1.05, drawn from 2/32 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it Dalian Zhixing 41% | Draw 26% | Changchun Yatai 33%, with Dalian Zhixing to win its most likely call at 41%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 79% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights

Model Goals market defied the model — 55% Over 2.5 probability, but 2 goals scored.
Model BTTS bucked the model — 59% projected, one side was shut out.

⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.