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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Beijing Guoan cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Dalian Zhixing.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Beijing Guoan beat Dalian Zhixing 0-2 at Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium, Regular Season - 11, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Dalian Zhixing 1.68 xG and Beijing Guoan 1.75 xG, a combined 3.43. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Dalian Zhixing fell 1.7 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Dalian Zhixing attack 0.94 / defence 0.94 against Beijing Guoan attack 1.32 / defence 1.04, drawn from 10/39 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Dalian Zhixing 36% | Draw 24% | Beijing Guoan 39%, with Beijing Guoan to win its most likely call at 39%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 67%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 87% and landed. Over 3.5 was 45% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 68% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights