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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Chengdu Better City cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Meizhou Kejia.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Chengdu Better City beat Meizhou Kejia 3-1 at Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Regular Season - 27, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Chengdu Better City 2.20 xG and Meizhou Kejia 0.62 xG, a combined 2.82. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Chengdu Better City attack 1.02 / defence 0.63 against Meizhou Kejia attack 0.70 / defence 1.18, drawn from 56/56 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Chengdu Better City 73% | Draw 19% | Meizhou Kejia 8%, with Chengdu Better City to win its most likely call at 73%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. Over 3.5 was 31% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 42% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 62% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Chengdu Better City 59%, Meizhou Kejia 64%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Chengdu Better City's trading profile (56 games, 28 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and conceded here.

Meizhou Kejia's trading profile (56 games, 28 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Chengdu Better City arrived the stronger side — 2.04 PPG against 0.84. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Meizhou Kejia (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 2.14 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights