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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Chengdu Better City cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Dalian Zhixing.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Chengdu Better City beat Dalian Zhixing 2-0 at Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Regular Season - 5, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Chengdu Better City 1.89 xG and Dalian Zhixing 1.09 xG, a combined 2.98. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Dalian Zhixing landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Chengdu Better City attack 0.98 / defence 0.89 against Dalian Zhixing attack 0.78 / defence 1.19, drawn from 34/4 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Chengdu Better City 54% | Draw 26% | Dalian Zhixing 20%, with Chengdu Better City to win its most likely call at 54%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights