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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Stalemate at Changchun Yatai's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Development Area Stadium, Regular Season - 8, as Changchun Yatai and Yunnan Yukun drew 0-0 in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Changchun Yatai 1.89 xG and Yunnan Yukun 1.38 xG, a combined 3.27. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Changchun Yatai fell 1.9 short of their projected output. Yunnan Yukun landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Changchun Yatai attack 0.87 / defence 0.98 against Yunnan Yukun attack 0.93 / defence 1.24, drawn from 37/7 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Changchun Yatai 48% | Draw 25% | Yunnan Yukun 27%, with Changchun Yatai to win its most likely call at 48%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 25% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 85% and missed. Over 3.5 was 41% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 65% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights