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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Atlético Ottawa edge out Supra du Quebec 0-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Atlético Ottawa beat Supra du Quebec 0-1 at CEPSUM Stadium, Group Stage, in the Canadian Premier League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Supra du Quebec 1.46 xG and Atlético Ottawa 1.51 xG, a combined 2.97. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Supra du Quebec fell 1.5 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Supra du Quebec attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Atlético Ottawa attack 1.04 / defence 0.95, drawn from 0/28 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Supra du Quebec 35% | Draw 28% | Atlético Ottawa 37%, with Atlético Ottawa to win its most likely call at 37%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 81% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 62% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights