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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Atlético Ottawa cruise to a comfortable 5-3 victory over Supra du Quebec.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Atlético Ottawa beat Supra du Quebec 5-3 at TD Place Stadium, Group Stage, in the Canadian Premier League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Atlético Ottawa 2.08 xG and Supra du Quebec 1.03 xG, a combined 3.11. The scoreboard read 5-3 for 8 actual goals. Atlético Ottawa beat their projection by 2.9 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Supra du Quebec outscored their 1.03 projection by 2.0. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Atlético Ottawa attack 1.00 / defence 0.96 against Supra du Quebec attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 28/0 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Atlético Ottawa 60% | Draw 24% | Supra du Quebec 16%, with Atlético Ottawa to win its most likely call at 60%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 60%. The game delivered 8, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. Over 3.5 was 38% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights