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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Saturday 11 May 2024

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 11 May 2024. AC Oulu vs Gnistan led the list at 70% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 46%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland 70%
AC Oulu
1 : 1 FT
Gnistan
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 79%
#2 League Two Β· England 64%
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 5 FT
Crawley Town
Win 40%
Draw 21%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 63%
Hertha BSC
3 : 1 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 21%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland 61%
Inter Turku
0 : 1 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 72%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 58%
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia 58%
Al Shabab
1 : 2 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Premier League Β· England 58%
West Ham
3 : 1 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#8 Premier League Β· England 57%
Tottenham
2 : 1 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#9 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 57%
Sukhothai FC
2 : 0 FT
Police Tero
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Premier League Β· England 56%
Bournemouth
1 : 2 FT
Brentford
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine 55%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 0 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#12 Premier League Β· England 54%
Nottingham Forest
2 : 3 FT
Chelsea
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 54%
1. FC Nürnberg
3 : 0 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Super League Β· Switzerland 53%
BSC Young Boys
0 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany 53%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#16 Premier League Β· England 53%
Newcastle
1 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany 51%
SC Freiburg
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 51%
Ratchaburi
1 : 2 FT
Muangthong United
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Eliteserien Β· Norway 48%
Molde
2 : 2 FT
Rosenborg
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Super League 1 Β· Greece 46%
Atromitos
0 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Saturday 11 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AC Oulu vs Gnistan at 70% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.