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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Monday 4 March 2024

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Monday 4 March 2024. MVV vs Dordrecht led the list at 60% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 60%
MVV
1 : 3 FT
Dordrecht
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 56%
Jong PSV U21
3 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Primera División Β· Chile 52%
Deportes Copiapo
1 : 3 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 38%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 49%
Alanyaspor
3 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Premier League Β· England 46%
Sheffield Utd
0 : 6 FT
Arsenal
Win 3%
Draw 8%
βœ“ Win 89%
✓ Over 2.5 81%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland 44%
Dundalk
0 : 5 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 44%
Famalicao
1 : 1 FT
Boavista
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 41%
Radomiak Radom
2 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 8 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Monday 4 March 2024?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by MVV vs Dordrecht at 60% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.