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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Vitoria Win
56%
1.80
27%
3.77
18%
5.58
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.7%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
12.3%
Home win
1 – 1
11.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.47
Vitoria xG
Total xG
2.18
0.71
Sao Paulo xG
VitoriaDrawSao Paulo
1.80
56%
Home win
3.77
27%
Draw
5.58
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.56
61%
BTTS No
1.64
Clean Sheet
49%
2.03
23%
4.36
Win to Nil
27%
3.65
4%
24.34
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.3 | 8.0 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 16.7 | 11.8 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.3 | 8.7 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 6.0 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.473
λ Away (xG)
0.707
Total xG
2.180
League avg home goals
1.499
League avg away goals
1.028
Vitoria attack strength
0.797
Vitoria defence strength
0.792
Sao Paulo attack strength
0.869
Sao Paulo defence strength
1.233
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
75 / 75