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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

22:30

Venue

Barradao

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitoria Win

58%

Vitoria

1.72

27%

Draw

3.67

14%

Gremio

6.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.91

Vitoria xG

Total xG

2.81

0.90

Gremio xG

58%
27%
14%
VitoriaDrawGremio

1.72

58%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

6.91

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

41%

Vitoria

2.47

15%

Gremio

6.76

Win to Nil

24%

Vitoria

4.23

2%

Gremio

46.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 5.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.5 10.3 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 10.9 9.9 4.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.0 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 3.3 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.911
λ Away (xG) 0.903
Total xG 2.814
League avg home goals 1.459
League avg away goals 0.871
Vitoria attack strength 1.049
Vitoria defence strength 1.149
Gremio attack strength 0.902
Gremio defence strength 1.248
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43