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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

20:00

Venue

Barradao

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitoria Win

46%

Vitoria

2.18

25%

Draw

3.95

29%

Fluminense

3.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Vitoria xG

Total xG

2.69

1.16

Fluminense xG

46%
25%
29%
VitoriaDrawFluminense

2.18

46%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

3.48

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

31%

Vitoria

3.18

22%

Fluminense

4.63

Win to Nil

14%

Vitoria

6.93

6%

Fluminense

16.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 7.9 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.4 12.0 7.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.2 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.1 4.7 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.532
λ Away (xG) 1.158
Total xG 2.690
League avg home goals 1.366
League avg away goals 1.110
Vitoria attack strength 0.951
Vitoria defence strength 1.016
Fluminense attack strength 1.027
Fluminense defence strength 1.179
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 59